Weather forecast: Big warmth is on the way

Tonight looks mostly quiet with any shower activity coming to an end as the heating of the day fades. Temperatures drop into the 50s and skies clear into Monday morning. The new week will start with sunshine and jacket worthy temperatures and the lake breeze boundary will keep limited chances for a shower in the mix, but the story next week will be the bigger warmth ahead and prolonged dry conditions we’ll see.

Expect a carbon copy of Sunday’s weather for the day on Monday. Expect intervals of clouds and sunshine. The heating of the day in conjunction with some leftover boundaries in place from yesterday’s spotty showers over the Finger Lakes will likely mean another spotty shower in the afternoon primarily over the southern and eastern Finger Lakes. Temperatures will again top out in the lower 70s away from Lake Ontario. It will be cooler by the water’s edge of Lake Ontario with those onshore breezes.

The synoptic, or large scale wind flow will be weak over the next few days, which means that southerly winds won’t be strong enough to overcome the lake breeze that will inevitably keep those lakeside cooler in the 50s and 60s.

High pressure will dominate the region once again heading into the middle of next week. As a strong ridge axis pumps warm, southerly air into the region temperatures will quickly jump into the mid to upper 70s by Tuesday. Drier air will keep limited chances for any rain until the end of the week, and warming temperatures aloft will help highs reach into the 80s through the middle and later parts of next week. This will come with slight chances for a pop up shower or storm beginning on Thursday, but coverage will be limited.

Average highs are right around 70 degrees this time of year, and signs are pointing towards a jump from seasonable air to downright summer-like by the end of next week. Get the sunglasses and shorts out Western New York, because lovers of the warmth are in for a treat!

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